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Refresh             MCX Gold Live 10 minute Intraday Chart with automatic Buy and Sell Signal
MCX Gold Positional EOD End of the Day Chart with automatic Buy and Sell Signal
Commodity Exchange-- Contract----- Trend--------- S2------- --S1-------- LTP--------- R1--------- R2
Gold -------MCX ------Aug-----------Sideways----27350----27500----27667----27800----27950
Spot Gold-----------------------------Up----1301----1308----1316----1322----1329
Gold Hedge----NCDEX----July------Up----25180----25320----25478----25600----25730
Spot Silver----------------------------Up----20.70----20.90----21.06----21.10----21.40
Silver Hedge----NCDEX----June----Up----3980----4010----4046----4070----4100
Base Metals

LME Copper------------------------Up----6840----6890----6936----6960----7010
Crude Oil----MCX----July-----------Sideways----6300----6350----6385----6430----6480
Crude Oil----NYMEX----Aug-------Up----104.20----105.00----105.66----106.40----107.20
Crude Oil----NCDEX----July---------Sideways----6300----6350----6394----6430----6530
Brent Crude Oil----MCX----July------Up----6590----6640----6676----6720----6770
Brent Crude Oil NYMEX Aug--------Up----111.60----112.50----113.12----113.80----114.70
Brent Crude Oil NCDEX----July----Sideways----6770----6820----6862----6900----6950
Natural Gas----MCX----July----------Down----261----264----267.80----270----273

International Commodities
Overview US Unemployment Claims declined to 312,000 for w/e 21st June’14.
China's gold imports from Hong Kong dropped 17 percent in May.
Foreign inflows stood at $2.3bn in equities & $2.9bn in debt in June.
Utilities added 110 billion cubic feet of gas into storage last week.
Japan’s unemployment rate fell to 3.5 percent in the last month.


Gold prices declined on Thursday on upbeat jobless claims data and lack of investment interest. Another report on Thursday showed the number of Americans seeking unemployment benefits fell again last week. Gold’s recent gains were majorly driven by a bout of short covering as speculators aggressively bought back their bearish bets.
Prices came under pressure on comments from St. Louis Fed President James Bullard that interest rate increases should come sooner rather than later. Also negative was a drop in crude oil prices as fears eased over export disruption from war-ravaged Iraq.
Physical gold demand in main consumer China remains lackluster, dealers said, with higher prices curbing some buying. China's total gold imports from Hong Kong dropped 17 percent to 67.233 tonnes in May from 80.817 tonnes in April.
On the MCX, gold prices declined by0.3 percent and closed at Rs.27667/10gms.

Spot silver prices gained in contrast to gains in bullion as speculators renewed interest in the grey metal is sending prices higher. Strength in the base metals pack and flat dollar index further led to the gains.
On the MCX, silver prices declined marginally by 0.04 percent and closed at Rs.44636/kg.
Outlook Gold Silver
On an intraday basis, we expect gold and silver prices to trade sideways as the situation in Iraq seems to have eased down with no fear of oil exports disruptions. Spate of data releases yesterday and in the recent weeks is indicating that optimism in the US economy remain intact although the growth momentum is slow as visible in the GDP data.
In addition, comments from James Bullard regarding rise in the interest rates sooner than later is also an indication of gold prices heading lower in the coming session.
On the MCX, gold and silver prices are expected to trade sideways in line with international markets.

Crude Oil

Ease of fears over exports disruptions from Iraq and assurances from United Nations Iraq Special Envoy Nickolay Mladenov that Iraq's southern oilfields, which produce most of the nation's 3.3 million barrels per day, remained unaffected, cooled oil prices on both sides of the Atlantic.
Insurgents and Iraqi government forces continued to fight on Wednesday for control of the country's largest refinery, the 300,000-barrel-per-day Baiji complex, and troops were airlifted to the site by helicopter. Oil output in Libya rose to 300,000 bpd after the El Feel field increased production, further pressuring prices.
On the MCX, crude oil prices declined by 0.7 percent and closed at 6385/bbl.

Natural gas
U.S. natural gas futures fell 3 percent on Thursday after the government reported a seventh super-sized addition to storage, pressuring the front-month contract to the lowest expiration price.
Utilities added 110 billion cubic feet of gas into storage last week, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported. It was a record seventh straight build over 100 bcf.
Outlook Energy
On an intraday basis, we expect crude prices to trade sideways as the situation in Iraq has eased down a bit along with the inventory buildup in the recent weeks indicate potential dip in demand from the US. In addition, oil output in Libya has been increasing in the recent weeks easing fears of supply disruption.
On the other hand, militants continue their fight in Iraq and take control over Iraq’s largest oil refinery acting as a positive factor for crude prices.
On the MCX, crude oil prices are expected to trade sideways in line with international markets.

Base Metals
Base metals on the LME apart from Aluminium traded on a positive note yesterday on the back of positive employment data from the US. Further, decline in LME inventories acted as a positive factor.
However, sharp gains were capped owing to indication by a Federal Reserve official that the U.S. interest rates could rise by March. Also, weak global market sentiments exerted downside pressure on prices.
In the Indian markets, base metals traded higher in line with international markets.

LME Copper prices gained 0.4 percent yesterday taking cues from 0.5 percent decline in inventories along with rise in risk appetite in the market sentiments.
However, concern that demand to use the red metal as collateral for loans may decline in China restricted gains. Further, Federal Reserve official signaled U.S. interest rates could rise by March acted as a negative factor. The red metal touched an intra-day high of $6955.15/tonne and closed at $6947/tonne on Thursday.
MCX Copper prices gained 0.4 percent and touched an intra-day high of Rs.422.15/kg before closing at Rs.420.4/kg in the last trading session.

Outlook Base Metals
We expect LME Copper prices to trade higher today on the back of estimates of favorable economic data from the US and Euro Zone. Also, weakness in the DX supported gains.
However, weak global market sentiments will cap sharp gains in prices.
In the Indian markets, base metals will trade higher in line with international markets.

Important Events for Today
Indicator --------------------------Country Time (IST) Actual Forecast Previous Impact
Household Spending y/y -----------Japan ---27th June -0.4% -1.9% -4.3% Medium
Tokyo Core CPI y/y---------------- Japan--- 27th June - 2.8% 2.8% Medium
Retail Sales y/y --------------------Japan ----6:20am - -1.9% -4.3% Medium
Nationwide HPI m/m --------------UK------ 3:00pm - ---------------- - Medium
Unemployment Claims -------------UK -----27th – 2nd - 0.7% 0.7% Medium
German Prelim CPI m/m -----------Euro ----All day - 0.2% -0.1% High
French Consumer Spending m/m ---Euro---- 1:15pm - 0.3% -0.3% Medium
Spanish Flash CPI y/y -------------Euro -----1:30pm - 0.3% 0.2% Medium
Current Account ------------------UK -------3:00pm - -17.1B -22.4B High
Final GDP q/q --------------------UK -------3:00pm - 0.8% 0.8% Medium
Italian 10-y Bond Auction ----------Euro ----Tentative - - 3.01/1.3 Medium
EU Economic Summit -------------Euro------ Day 1 ---------------- - - Medium
Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment US------- 8:25pm - 82.2 81.2 Medium

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